Betting tips for ‘Monday Night Football’: Dolphins vs. Rams

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The Miami Dolphins travel to Inglewood, California, to face the Los Angeles Rams for the final game of the NFL’s Week 10 slate on “Monday Night Football” (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Dolphins enter Monday night’s matchup on a three-game losing streak and despite Tua Tagovailoa‘s return under center, Miami has lost by one score in back-to-back games.

Meanwhile, the Rams are on a three-game winning streak, coming off a huge overtime win over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 9. Matthew Stafford has found success with his top two receivers, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, back on the field.

Both the Dolphins and Rams have two of most high-powered offenses in the NFL and this game opened with one of the highest totals of the week (50.5). The line has since ticked down to 48.5 likely due to the status of Tyreek Hill, who is listed as a game-time decision for Monday night with a wrist injury. The Rams are 2.5-point favorites and currently have +500 odds to win the NFC West. 

Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET 

Game lines

Spread: Rams (-2.5)
Moneyline: Rams -135, Dolphins +115
Over/Under: 48.5 (Opened 50.5)

First-half spread: Rams -0.5 (-110), Dolphins +0.5 (-120)
First-half moneyline: Rams (-135), Dolphins (+105)
Rams total points: 24.5 (Over -110/Under -120)

The props

Passing

Matthew Stafford total passing yards: 249.5 (Over -130/Under Even)
Stafford total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Tua Tagovailoa total passing yards: 249.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Tagovailoa total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over -145/Under +115)

Rushing

Kyren Williams total rushing yards: 79.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
De’Von Achane total rushing yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Raheem Mostert total rushing yards: 34.5 (Over -115/Under -115)

Receiving

Cooper Kupp total receiving yards: 69.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Puka Nacua total receiving yards: 69.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Achane total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over Even/Under -130)
Demarcus Robinson total receiving yards: 29.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Colby Parkinson total receiving yards: 19.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Williams total receiving yards: 14.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Tyler Fulghum’s favorite pick

Over 48.5 points

Coming into this season I had high hopes for both offenses. Unfortunately, injuries to Tua Tagovailoa and a slew of Rams players has made both team’s seasons on both sides of the ball look pretty bleak. Now they’re starting to get healthy though and because of that I feel that the Monday night affair in L.A. comes in over the total. The Rams’ defense is starting to play well but I don’t think L.A. can stop Tua, Tyreek Hill, De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle. With Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back as well as two key offensive linemen potentially back, I think Matthew Stafford and Tagovailoa will trade haymakers in this one.

Betting trends

Courtesy ESPN Research

  • The Dolphins are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games as underdogs (0-8 outright).
  • The Rams are 1-8 ATS off extra rest since 2022. The Dolphins are 0-3 ATS in that spot this season.
  • The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their past seven games as favorites, and they’ve won eight straight when favored.
  • Teams favored by four points or fewer are 135-100 ATS over the past two seasons and 46-32 ATS this season

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